Does Winner of Special Election Have to Run Again in November

Election News

Florida Legislature Passes DeSantis Redistricting Plan; Shapes Added to Interactive Map

By 270toWin Staff - Apr 22, 2022, 9:thirty AM ET

The Florida Legislature passed a redistricting program Thursday, sending it to Gov. Ron DeSantis (R). Equally the map originated from the governor's function, his signature would seem to be a foregone conclusion. As such, the new shapes have been added to the 2022 House Interactive Map.

The new map is quite favorable to Republicans, with the party expected to gain up to 4 seats in this autumn'due south midterm elections. In that scenario, Democrats would lose three, as the state gained a district after the 2020 Demography.

The graphic below compares the two maps. The new map is colored based on the spread between Joe Biden and Donald Trump in 2020, as calculated by Matthew Isbell, publisher of The MCIMAPS Report. That assay shows eighteen seats where Trump won past >five%. Districts xv and 27, the merely two seats decided by <v%, are both held by Republicans.

The map effectively eliminates the current Commune five, which stretches beyond the northern tier of the state. It was shaped that way after court-ordered redistricting prior to the 2016 election and was intended to permit Black voters elect a representative of their choice. Democrat Al Lawson is now in his third term in that location. The map likewise splits up Black voters around the Orlando area, probable eliminating a Democratic-held commune there. (Current FL-10 Rep. Val Demings is running for the Democratic nomination for U.Due south. Senate).

Litigation is expected to explore whether the new plan violates the state's Fair Districts Amendments or the federal Voting Rights Act.

Alive Results: California Assembly Commune 17 Special Election

By 270toWin Staff - April 19, 2022, three:55 PM ET

We're tracking i legislative special ballot this week.

California Country Associates Commune 17

Democrats hold 57 of 80 seats in the California Assembly. At that place are xix Republicans and one independent. Members serve two year terms. The next regularly scheduled elections are in Nov. Those will exist contested under redistricted boundaries.

Three seats are open, all were previously held by Democrats. Vacancies in Districts 62 and fourscore held primaries on April 5. Those full general elections will be June 7, the same date as the statewide primary.

District 17 is located in San Francisco. The seat became vacant when Democrat David Chiu was sworn in as San Francisco Urban center Attorney in November.

No Republican has contested this districts since 2016. At that place were four Democrats on the Feb 15 primary ballot; none received a majority of the vote. The top 2 finishers - Matt Haney (36.four% of the vote) and David Campos (35.7%) - were separated by merely over 700 votes. Affordable housing is a key outcome in the race.

Polls shut at 11:00 PM Eastern Fourth dimension.

Upcoming

No elections (that we encompass) side by side calendar week. May is the tertiary busiest month for statewide primaries on the 2022 agenda.

• May 3
  • Indiana Primary
  • Ohio Primary
  • Georgia State Business firm District 45 Runoff
  • Michigan State House Districts 15, 36, 43, and 74 Special Elections
• May 7
  • Lubbock, Texas Mayoral Election
    • Runoff, if necessary, on May 24
  • Texas State House District 147 Special Election
• May 10
  • Nebraska Chief
  • West Virginia Master
  • Newark, NJ Mayoral Ballot
• May 17
  • Idaho Primary
  • Kentucky Primary
  • North Carolina Primary
    • Runoffs, where necessary, on July 26
  • Oregon Master
  • Pennsylvania Primary
  • Charlotte and Greensboro, NC Mayoral Primaries
  • Lexington and Louisville, KY Mayoral Primaries
  • Oregon State Senate Senate Commune 18 Special Primary
  • Pennsylvania State House Commune v Special Election
  • Southward Carolina State Business firm District 97 Special Ballot
• May 24
  • Alabama Primary
    • Runoffs, where necessary, on July 26
  • Arkansas Primary
    • Runoffs, where necessary, on June 21
  • Georgia Primary
    • Runoffs, where necessary, on June 21
  • Texas Primary Runoffs
  • Minnesota Congressional District 1 Special Master
  • South Carolina Country House Commune 18 Special Election

Florida Legislature to Defer to DeSantis on Congressional Redistricting

By 270toWin Staff - April 12, 2022, 11:43 AM ET

In a joint statement issued Monday, Republican leaders of both branches of the Florida Legislature announced they will defer to Gov. Ron DeSantis (R) on congressional redistricting. The Legislature is awaiting a map acceptable to the governor, which they will evaluate and presumably laissez passer during the upcoming Apr xix-22 special session.

DeSantis had previously vetoed a programme passed by the Legislature. While the map was favorable to Republicans, information technology did not go far plenty in meeting the governor's demand to make Commune five more than meaty.

In its electric current format, District five stretches across the northern tier of the state. It was shaped that way after court-ordered redistricting prior to the 2016 ballot and is intended to permit Blackness voters elect a representative of their selection. Democrat Al Lawson is at present in his third term in that location.

After a new map is enacted, a court battle is expected over whether it meets the standards of the Fair Districts Amendments to the State Constitution, approved by voters in 2010.

Overview and Live Results: New York Associates District 20 Special Election

By 270toWin Staff - April vii, 2022, 9:02 PM ET

This week, we have an unusual Thursday special election to to fill a legislative vacancy.

New York Land Associates District 20

Democrats hold a big majority in the New York Country Assembly. The party controls 106 seats, alongside 42 Republicans and i Independence Political party member.

Members serve two-yr terms. The next regularly scheduled elections will be in November. These will be contested using redistricted boundaries. Note that these new districts are being challenged in court. A approximate ruled the maps unconstitutional on March 31. That decision has been stayed by a college court while the entreatment proceeds.

District twenty borders the New York City civic of Queens in southwestern Long Isle. Republican Melissa Miller resigned in February later on being appointed to the Hempstead boondocks board. She won her third term past 59% to 41% in 2020.

Miller's prior wins were past unmarried digit margins, including in 2016, when she flipped the commune from Democratic control. It is unclear if this electoral history means we'll come across a close special ballot or if the commune has moved too far to the right for Democrats to compete.

There are two candidates on the ballot. Polls shut at 9:00 PM Eastern Time.

Ohio Republican Rep. Bob Gibbs Announces Retirement

By 270toWin Staff - April 6, 2022, 10:02 AM ET

Citing an "irresponsible" redistricting process, six-term Ohio Republican Rep. Bob Gibbs (OH-07) announced his retirement Wednesday. Gibbs will serve through the end of this Congress.

Since 2011, I've had the accolade of serving the people of Ohio's 18th, then 7th Commune. I helped reform federal water resource policy, made clean water utilities more affordable for low-income communities, cut taxes & red tape for millions of American families & businesses… pic.twitter.com/xABqVFGHjw

— Gibbs for Congress (@Bob_Gibbs) April 6, 2022

In his statement, Gibbs expressed frustration that the new congressional map was finalized - and perhaps but in effect for 2022 - simply a week prior to the start of early voting, particularly since the new 7th district only contains well-nigh 10% population overlap with the existing seventh. (Gibbs isn't the simply member seeing big shifts, some of which is driven past the fact that Ohio is losing a commune.)

Per Cleveland.com, Gibbs was also facing some principal challengers "including Max Miller, a well-funded sometime White House adjutant to [and endorsed by] ex-President Donald Trump."

Early voting for the May 3 chief began on Mon. Due to ongoing redistricting litigation around the country legislative maps, the primary for those elections volition be conducted at a after appointment.

48 current members, including 30 Democrats and 18 Republicans, have announced they are retiring or seeking another part.

Overview and Live Results: California Congressional District 22, Other Special Elections

By 270toWin Staff - April 5, 2022, four:46 PM ET

This week, we're tracking a number of special elections, highlighted by the all-party master for a vacant congressional district in California. In that location are legislative races in California, Georgia, and Pennsylvania. On the municipal forepart, voters in Milwaukee will elect a mayor.

Congressional Special Main Election

California District 22

This seat has been open since the start of the 117th Congress in Jan. Republican Devin Nunes vacated the seat to lead Trump Media & Technology Group.

In California, all candidates appear on a single primary ballot. In regular elections, the elevation two advance to the full general election. This is as well the case in special elections, unless i candidate gets a majority of the primary vote. In that case, they are elected. If a special general ballot is needed, that will take place on June 7, the same date as the statewide primary.

There are four Republicans and two Democrats on the principal ballot. The frontrunner appears to be Republican Connie Conway, a erstwhile member of the State Assembly. Polls shut at eleven:00 PM Eastern Time.

There's a skilful chance that the winner of the special election will only serve in Congress until the end of the twelvemonth. California is losing a district, and the current District 22 is essentially existence eliminated, its current borders largely folded into the new Districts 5, xx and 21.

Three participants in Tuesday's election - 2 Republicans and one Democrat - have entered the June seven principal in the new Commune 21. Democrat Jim Costa (current CA-16) is running as the incumbent. While it is likely that one of the special election Republicans will advance with Costa, the district has been made safer for Democrats in redistricting.

The other three entrants in the special election - including Conway, the frontrunner - did non file for any seats in the regular 2022 election.

State Legislative Special General Elections

Georgia State House District 45

Republicans concur a 102-77 edge over Democrats in the Georgia State House. Members serve two year terms; the side by side regular elections are in November. These will be contested using redistricted boundaries.

District 45 is located in Atlanta's northern suburbs. Republican Matt Dollar resigned in Feb to take another position. Dollar was unopposed when beginning elected in 2012 and didn't face a challenger until 2018. That year, he won by near xx% over his Democratic foe; that gap narrowed to 10 points in 2020.

Of Tuesday'southward seven Land Firm special elections and primaries, this one is likely to exist the nearly competitive from a party control perspective.

In Georgia, special elections include all candidates from all parties. In this race, there are three Republicans and one Democrat. If no candidate gets a majority of the vote, the top two finishers will meet in a May three runoff.

Polls shut at seven:00 PM Eastern Time.

Pennsylvania Land Firm Districts 19, 24, and 116

Republicans hold 112 seats in the 203-member Pennsylvania State House. There are 88 Democrats. Members serve 2 yr terms; the next regular elections are in Nov. These will be contested using redistricted boundaries.

Tuesday'south elections will fill up the chamber'due south three vacancies. Nominees were chosen directly by the political parties. Polls shut at viii:00 PM Eastern Time.

Commune xix: This Pittsburgh-area district has not been contested past Republicans over the last decade. That will keep with this special election; Democrat Aerion Abney is unopposed on the ballot. The prior officeholder, Democrat Jake Wheatley Jr. resigned in January to go Principal of Staff to Pittsburgh Mayor Ed Gainey.

District 24: Located just due east of Commune xix, the prior incumbent, Ed Gainey was elected Mayor of Pittsburgh this by November. Although Republicans haven't contested this district over the by decade, they do take a candidate in the special election. Mayhap reflecting a very thin bench for the party in this part of the state, that nominee, Todd Koger, ran for this seat as a Democrat in both 2016 and 2018. The Democratic nominee is Martell Covington.

District 116: This district sits west of Wilkes-Barre. Information technology was last represented by Republican Tarah Toohil. She resigned at the finish of 2021 later on existence elected as a judge on the Luzerne Canton Court of Common Pleas. Toohil concluding won reelection by a 72% to 28% margin over her Democratic challenger in 2020. There are three candidates on the ballot.

Land Legislative Special Chief Elections

California Associates Districts 11, 62, and fourscore

The lower legislative chamber in California is known as the State Assembly. Democrats hold 56 of the 80 seats. There are 19 Republicans and one independent.Members serve two twelvemonth terms; the next regular elections are in Nov. These volition exist contested using redistricted boundaries.

Tuesday'due south all-party primaries will start the process of filling 3 of four vacancies. If a candidate receives a majority of the vote, they are elected. Otherwise, the top two finishers advance to the June 7 general ballot. Polls close at 11:00 PM Eastern Time.

District 11: Located between San Francisco and Sacramento, this district was represented over the past decade by Democrat Jim Frazier. He resigned December 31. Frazier was reelected by a 65% to 35% margin in 2020. The just candidate on the election is Democrat Lori Wilson. Republican Erik Elness has been certified as a write-in candidate.

District 62: This coastal Southern California district includes Inglewood and Los Angeles International Airport. Democrat Autumn Burke resigned earlier this twelvemonth. She had been first elected in 2014. In 2020, she was reelected with 81% of the vote. Four Democrats are on the main ballot.

District 80: This district runs from the Mexico border to San Diego. Democrat Lorena Gonzalez Fletcher resigned in January. She was outset elected in 2013. In 2020, she was reelected with 72% of the vote. There are ii Democrats and one Republican on the ballot. While one of the Democrats is expected to prevail, this race has drawn some outsized interest.

Mayoral Special Full general Ballot

Milwaukee

Milwaukee is the 31st largest city in the United States,^{i i}City rankings are based on July 1, 2020 Demography Bureau population estimates. They are for the city itself, not the associated metropolitan expanse. with a population of merely over 577,000.

The acting mayor is Democrat Cavalier Johnson, who also serves equally the City's Common Council President. Johnson became interim mayor when five-term incumbent Tom Barrett resigned in Dec later existence unanimously confirmed as the new U.S. Ambassador to Luxembourg.

Johnson finished first in the February 15 nonpartisan primary with 42% of the vote. In second place was sometime Alderman Bob Donovan, who previously ran for mayor in 2016. Co-ordinate to the Milwaukee Journal Lookout, "The candidates take offered voters a juxtaposition of a 35-yr-old Democratic due north side alderman who has moved upwardly rapidly at City Hall since his outset ballot win in 2016 and a 65-year-erstwhile conservative sometime council member who spent 20 years representing a south side district before retiring in 2020."

The winner of this election will complete Barrett's term, which ends in 2024. Polls close at 9:00 PM Eastern Fourth dimension.

Upcoming

• April 7
  • New York Land Assembly District twenty Special Election
• April 19
  • California Country Associates Commune 17 Special Election
• May 3
  • Indiana Primary
  • Ohio Primary
  • Michigan State House Districts fifteen, 36, 43, and 74 Special Elections
• May 7
  • Lubbock, Texas Mayoral Election
  • Texas State Firm District 147 Special Election
• May 10
  • Nebraska Primary
  • West Virginia Primary
  • Newark, NJ Mayoral Election
• May 17
  • Idaho Primary
  • Kentucky Primary
  • N Carolina Primary
    • Runoffs, where necessary, on July 26
  • Oregon Primary
  • Pennsylvania Primary
  • Charlotte and Greensboro, NC Mayoral Primaries
  • Lexington and Louisville, KY Mayoral Primaries
  • Oregon State Senate Senate District 18 Special Primary
  • Pennsylvania State House Commune 5 Special Election
  • South Carolina Country House District 97 Special Ballot

Michigan Republican Rep. Fred Upton to Retire

By 270toWin Staff - April 5, 2022, 10:51 AM ET

Michigan Rep. Fred Upton (MI-06) announced Tuesday that he won't seek reelection this yr. Now serving his 18th term, Upton is third in Business firm Republican seniority.

Upton was one of 10 Firm Republicans that voted to impeach Donald Trump last January. He is the fourth of those to retire; well-nigh of the others are facing a Trump-endorsed primary challenger.

In addition to running afoul of the sometime president, Upton was besides facing an intraparty primary confronting Rep. Neb Huizenga (MI-02). With Michigan losing a seat this year, the two incumbents were redistricted together into the new 4th commune. The consensus rating for that district in this year'south midterms is Likely Republican.

47 electric current House members - including 30 Democrats and 17 Republicans - have said they are retiring or running for some other office this year.

House Special Election Calendar

By 270toWin Staff - April four, 2022, six:41 PM ET

On Monday, Texas Gov. Greg Abbott issued a special election proclamation for the vacancy in TX-34. Every bit a result, we at present have election dates for each open U.S. House seat.

Democrats currently hold a 221-209 edge over Republicans. At that place are v vacancies.

These special elections volition all utilise the existing district boundaries (prior to redistricting). Tabular array is ordered by the appointment of the kickoff election in each commune.

District	Party*	Primary	General	Notes
CA-22	R	Apr 5	June 7	All party primary; if i candidate gets a majority, they are elected. Otherwise top 2 advance to full general.
MN-01	R	May 24	Baronial 9	Voters select nominees in individual party primaries.
AK-AL	R	June 11	August xvi	Top four finishers in the all-party chief accelerate. Full general ballot decided past ranked pick voting.
TX-34	D	N/A	June 14	All-party general election. Top two runoff, probably in August, if no candidate gets a majority of the vote.
NE-01	R	N/A	June 28	Nominees selected directly past the parties.

* Party previously holding the seat

Sarah Palin, Santa Claus Among 51 Looking to Make full Vacant Alaska House Seat

By 270toWin Staff - Apr 2, 2022, 9:53 AM ET

Don Young (R) had been Alaska's lone U.South. House representative for over 49 years when he died on March 18. In that location is clearly a lot of pent-up demand, as 51 candidates have filed to take his place. A nonpartisan master will take identify entirely by mail. Ballots will be sent out in May and must exist postmarked by June 11.

The top four finishers in the primary will advance to the August 16 special general election, which will apply ranked choice voting to determine a winner. Both the all-mail main and the structure of the election are firsts for Alaska. Baronial 16 is the same date equally the statewide primary, where voters will separately choose four nominees for the total two-year term to be contested in November'south full general election.

The party distribution of the 51 candidates: 17 Republican (R), 13 nonpartisan (Due north), x undeclared (U), six Democratic (D), three Libertarian (L), 1 Alaska Independence (AK), 1 American Independent (AI).

Some notable entrants:

Nick Begich III (R)	From a prominent Alaska political family. His grandfather, Nick Begich Sr. (D) was elected as the state'south U.S. Representative in 1968. A plane he was on vanished in October, 1972. Still on the election, Begich defeated Don Young that Nov. Young would go on to win the special election in March, 1973. Begich III is the nephew of former Sen. Marker Begich (D) and current State Sen. Tom Begich (D).
John Coghill (R)	Former State Senator
Chris Abiding (D)	Fellow member of the Anchorage Assembly
Al Gross (N)	Orthopedic surgeon. Running every bit an independent, he was the 2020 Democratic U.S. Senate nominee, losing to incumbent Dan Sullivan (R).
Emil Notti (D)	Lost to Don Young in the 1973 special election. Now 89, he'south giving it another try.
Sarah Palin (R)	One-time Alaska governor and 2008 Republican vice presidential nominee. Palin entered the race on April 1, the last date for filing.
Josh Revak (R)	State Senator and co-chair of Young's 2022 reelection campaign
Tara Sweeney (R)	Co-chair of Young's 2022 reelection campaign
Adam Wool (D)	State Representative

Santa Claus is as well running. He is a councilman in - evidently - North Pole, Alaska. Claus was once the special assistant deputy police commissioner in New York City.

I'm happy to announce that I'm a Candidate in the Special Election for the U.Southward. House of Representatives for Alaska in 2022!
I'm an independent, progressive, democratic socialist, with an affinity for Bernie Sanders, and aim to stand for ALL Alaskans :-)} https://t.co/DrYTU63Xp3 film.twitter.com/r8HplPVC3z

— SANTA CLAUS FOR ALASKA (@SantaClausforAK) April 1, 2022

Louisiana Shapes Added to House Map; Redistricting Update

By 270toWin Staff - April i, 2022, 8:28 AM ET

Louisiana:Barring whatever changes from expected litigation, congressional redistricting in Louisiana is complete. On March 30, the Republican-controlled Legislature overrode the veto of Democratic Gov. John Bel Edwards. The new district shapes have been added to the 2022 House Interactive Map.

The new map largely maintained the condition quo of the final decade, which translates to five seats for Republicans and 1 for Democrats. None of these are competitive from a party control perspective. Democrats, led by Edwards, had wanted the new map to include a 2d majority-minority commune given that Blacks now comprise about 33% of the state's population.

New York: On Thursday, a judge threw out the country'southward enacted congressional map, calling it a partisan gerrymander in violation of the State Constitution. The decision will be appealed. As a stay of the court guild is expected while the college court adjudicates, the district shapes will remain on the interactive map for the fourth dimension beingness.

Ohio:Information technology looks similar the Legislature's 2d enacted congressional map will stand for the midterm elections, despite it existence only slightly fairer than the i the Supreme Court tossed out in January. The court has yet to rule on the new map, and has now fix a timeline for hearing the case that takes any decision by the state's May 3 primary. These shapes were previously added to the Firm Interactive Map.

Remaining States

Four states, with 46 total districts, accept nevertheless to complete congressional redistricting.

Land (Districts)	Comments
Florida (28)	As expected, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (R) vetoed the program sent to him by the Republican-controlled Legislature. DeSantis is convening a special session of The Legislature from Apr nineteen to 22 for the sole purpose of coming upward with a new map. The intraparty boxing centers largely around the handling of District 5, a Black Opportunity district that stretches across much of the northern role of the land. Gov. Ron DeSantis wants this district made more than compact, finer eliminating the just Democratic-held district north of the Orlando surface area. The vetoed program somewhat acceded to this past consolidating the district around Jacksonville. However, it didn't go every bit far as DeSantis wanted.
Maryland (eight)	On March 25, a judge invalidated Maryland's previously enacted map, calling information technology a Democratic gerrymander in violation of the state Constitution. On March 30, the Democratic-controlled Legislature passed a revised plan to encounter a tight deadline ready by the Court. Information technology was transmitted to GOP Gov. Larry Hogan on March 31. According to FiveThirtyEight, the new map is much fairer based on their efficiency gap metric. It remains to be seen which (or either) of the two maps is enacted. The Court needs to rule on the new map, while at the aforementioned time the State will appeal the prior ruling. The bill (SB1012) passed with the revised map includes a provision that specifies the original map will be used if the State wins on appeal.
Missouri (8)	A deadlock in the Republican-controlled Missouri Senate was finally broken, and that chamber passed a map on March 24. However, the land Business firm, which passed its own plan back in January, rejected the plan. Missouri is the only land remaining where no plan has been enacted or passed past legislators. It is a fleck unclear what will happen next. The state's deadline for the August 2 master was March 29; candidates filed based on the 2010 boundaries. Yet, a lawsuit has been filed, as congressional districts are required to have equal populations based on the most recent Census.
New Hampshire (2)	Gov. Chris Sununu (R) will veto the congressional map sent to him by the Republican-controlled Legislature. On March 22, he submitted his ain programme to the leaders of both legislative chambers. Sununu favors a program that keeps both districts competitive, while the map canonical by the legislature makes each of the state's two districts more partisan. It made District ane more favorable for a GOP option-upwards; the party has not won a U.S. House seat since 2014.

morristhavill.blogspot.com

Source: https://www.270towin.com/news/

Share this post